Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.193419 0.220201 0.248949 0.282054 0.319077 0.359156 0.405778
2025-12-07 0.155671 0.191030 0.231535 0.281197 0.340267 0.408090 0.491661
2025-12-14 0.129236 0.169300 0.217851 0.280653 0.359335 0.454214 0.576802
2025-12-21 0.109777 0.152513 0.206967 0.280818 0.377639 0.499446 0.663352
2025-12-28 0.096360 0.141171 0.200902 0.285390 0.400674 0.551173 0.760937
2026-01-04 0.086516 0.133047 0.197664 0.292589 0.426822 0.607891 0.868188
2026-01-11 0.076953 0.123900 0.191660 0.294786 0.445522 0.655074 0.964956
2026-01-18 0.070029 0.117647 0.188857 0.300798 0.469404 0.710252 1.075557
2026-01-25 0.064581 0.112898 0.187586 0.308564 0.495881 0.770185 1.195934
2026-02-01 0.057903 0.105326 0.181079 0.307463 0.508521 0.810161 1.288926
2026-02-08 0.052120 0.098505 0.174975 0.306198 0.520379 0.849123 1.381965
2026-02-15 0.047033 0.092251 0.169100 0.304587 0.531205 0.886648 1.474294
2026-02-22 0.043779 0.089011 0.168171 0.311395 0.556604 0.949185 1.610490
2026-03-01 0.039760 0.083885 0.163464 0.311295 0.570441 0.994013 1.721055
2026-03-08 0.036195 0.079181 0.159013 0.311158 0.584017 1.038956 1.834000
2026-03-15 0.033104 0.075023 0.155121 0.311591 0.598418 1.085817 1.952290
2026-03-22 0.030925 0.072445 0.153914 0.316753 0.621348 1.148062 2.099225
2026-03-29 0.029274 0.070764 0.154244 0.324739 0.649748 1.220991 2.267708
2026-04-05 0.027168 0.067845 0.151830 0.327197 0.668014 1.277052 2.409637
2026-04-12 0.025673 0.066094 0.151593 0.333826 0.694376 1.348593 2.581827
2026-04-19 0.024474 0.064873 0.152315 0.342368 0.724804 1.428797 2.772912
2026-04-26 0.022513 0.061621 0.148432 0.341167 0.736185 1.474749 2.904409
2026-05-03 0.020722 0.058549 0.144630 0.339782 0.746995 1.519998 3.036459